The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torreense U23 48.8%
Draw 24%
Leixões U23 27.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49%
26.8%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
25.7%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Leixões U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense U23 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões U23 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Torreense U23 - Leixões U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 16th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 15th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense U23 won 1.
In recent outings, Torreense U23 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Leixões U23 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Leixões U23 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Torreense U23 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Torreense U23 has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Torreense U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Torreense U23
9
3
3
3
15:17
-2
12
14
Leixoes U23
9
2
4
3
17:15
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Leixões U23 - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.