Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Snows Stadium (Totton)


	Totton		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.30	2.20
	2.75	3.35	2.28
	2.95	3.5	2.29
	2.91	3.5	2.27	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.25
	2.75	3.67	2.3
	2.75	3.35	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.7)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
32.6%

Draw
26.8%

Chesham United
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Totton - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Kasimu H. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Lafleur A. ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Kasimu H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 4, Eze D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Totton won 1.

In recent matches, Chesham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Totton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chesham has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Totton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Totton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Outrights of English National League South for now

AFC Totton: 0.78% Chesham: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16:19	-3	10
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8:15	-7	10

Last Results with these Odds

Chesham United - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.28%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
18.08.26	Totton - Dorking Wanderers	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Totton - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Totton - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
English National League South
25.04.26	Totton - Farnborough	1:6 ✺
18.04.26	Eastbourne Borough - Totton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLW
- Chesham United
English National League South
22.08.26	Chesham United - Walton & Hersham	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Farnborough - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Braintree Town - Chesham United	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Chertsey Town - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.03.26	Chesham United - Totton	1:2
02.09.25	Totton - Chesham United	1:1
English Southern League South Division
16.03.24	Chesham United - Totton	2:0
02.12.23	Totton - Chesham United	2:2
English Southern Premier League
18.01.14	Totton - Chesham United	0:2
23.11.13	Chesham United - Totton	4:1

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