Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Totton		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.15
	1.95	3.76	3.18
	1.98	3.92	3.23	Watch
	2	3.6	3.2
	1.98	3.95	3.23
	2.16	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.16)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)	3.12 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
46%

Draw
24.6%

Farnborough
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

25.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Totton - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Sandah H. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Robinson O. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Senior C. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 3, Lee T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 1 - 4, Bingham R. ⚽,
73', 1 - 5, Sandah H. ⚽,
83', 1 - 6, Senior C. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).

Totton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Farnborough is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Totton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Totton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Totton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13:24	-11	16
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14

Outrights of English National League South for now

AFC Totton: 0.75% Farnborough: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
18.04.26	Eastbourne Borough - Totton	2:3 ✺
14.04.26	Totton - Bath City	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Totton - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Chippenham Town - Totton	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Totton - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWLW
- Farnborough
English National League South
18.04.26	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	1:6 ✺
11.04.26	Dover Athletic - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Farnborough - Horsham	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Farnborough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.12.25	Farnborough - Totton	4:2

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