Match Info

National League South - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Braintree Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.00
	3.1	3.25	2.12
	3.21	3.64	2.09
	3.14	3.6	2.12	Watch
	3.15	3.6	2.06
	3.13	3.86	2.04
	3.05	3.3	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.04)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	2.08 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
29.5%

Draw
26.3%

Chesham United
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braintree Town's form might have worsened.

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesham United's recent form is better than expected.

Braintree Town - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Kasimu H. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Lewis A. ⚽,
19', 🟥,
45+2', 2 - 1, Evans G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 3 - 1, Evans G. ⚽,
77', 3 - 2, Lench M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Chesham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Braintree won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Chesham	11	3	1	7	16:24	-8	10
20	Braintree	11	3	1	7	18:27	-9	10

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chesham: 0.74% Braintree: 0.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Braintree Town - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Chesham United - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
20.07.26	Cambridge United - Braintree Town	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	Aveley - Braintree Town	3:2 ✺
English National League
25.04.26	Tamworth - Braintree Town	5:1 ✺
18.04.26	Braintree Town - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWLLL
- Chesham United
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Chertsey Town - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	2:6 ✺
English National League South
25.04.26	Dover Athletic - Chesham United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Chesham United - Chelmsford City	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bath City - Chesham United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
17.10.23	Chesham United - Braintree Town	3:1 ET
14.10.23	Braintree Town - Chesham United	0:0

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