Match Info

National 1 - Group C - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Toulon		Fréjus Saint-Raphaël

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.18	3	3
	2.08	3.15	3.05
	2.15	3.21	3.16
	2.03	3.05	2.95
	2.13	3.14	3.21
	2.18	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	3.05 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
41.8%

Draw
29%

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Toulon - Fréjus Saint Raphaël Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 2.

Toulon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Toulon	7	3	3	1	9:5	4	12
6	Frejus Saint Raphael	7	4	0	3	13:10	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Toulon - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulon
French National 1 - Group C
22.08.26	GOAL FC - Toulon	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Toulon - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
09.05.26	Saint-Priest - Toulon	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Toulon - GFA Rumilly Vallières	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTWW
- EFC Fréjus Saint-Raphaël
French National 1 - Group C
05.09.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Andrézieux	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nîmes - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Saint-Priest	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Grasse	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	FC 93 - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
02.05.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	0:1
10.01.26	Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:1
French National 1 - Group A
02.11.24	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	0:0
27.04.24	Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	2:0
16.12.23	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	0:0
French National 1 - Group C
21.01.23	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	2:2
27.08.22	Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	0:0

Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël