Match Info

Date: 21 February 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Toulon		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.85	1.85
	4.75	2.8	1.85
	4.39	2.88	1.84
	5.24	2.97	1.94
	4.6	3	1.85
	4.6	3.15	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.62)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)	1.87 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
19.6%

Draw
31.2%

Villefranche
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.8%

31.2%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.7%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villefranche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	41.7%	45.8%

Toulon - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Villefranche will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villefranche: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulon
French Ligue 3
14.02.20	Pau - Toulon	3:0 ✺
07.02.20	Toulon - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
31.01.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Toulon	2:1 ✺
24.01.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Toulon	0:0 ✺
10.01.20	Toulon - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
14.02.20	Villefranche - Red Star	0:0 ✺
07.02.20	Béziers - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
31.01.20	Villefranche - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
24.01.20	Lyon La Duchère - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
10.01.20	Villefranche - Cholet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.09.19	Villefranche - Toulon	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
31.10.26	Orleans - Villefranche	✺

Toulon - Villefranche