Match Info

Date: 7 February 2020, Friday


	Béziers		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.45	3	2.05
	3.34	2.99	2.06
	3.7	3.17	2.17
	3.6	3	2.1
	3.8	3.14	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.57)	3.05 ↑ (2.91)	2.09 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Béziers
26%

Draw
30.1%

Villefranche
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

22.4%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Béziers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Béziers's form might have worsened.

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villefranche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Béziers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	17.9%	57.1%

Béziers - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Béziers will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Villefranche will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villefranche: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Béziers Hérault
French Ligue 3
01.02.20	Pau - Béziers	7:0 ✺
23.01.20	Béziers - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
17.01.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Béziers	0:1 ✺
10.01.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Béziers	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.20	Béziers - Clermont	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWTT
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
31.01.20	Villefranche - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
24.01.20	Lyon La Duchère - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
10.01.20	Villefranche - Cholet	3:2 ✺
20.12.19	Le Puy - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
13.12.19	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
30.08.19	Villefranche - Béziers	5:2

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