Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Armand Chouffet (Villefranche-sur-Saône)


	Villefranche		Red Star

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.08	3.49	1.94
	3.97	3.45	1.98
	3.75	3.4	1.83
	4.1	3.9	1.73	Watch
	3.85	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.94)	3.6 ↑ (3.01)	1.85 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villefranche
23.6%

Draw
25.9%

Red Star
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

30.7%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

30.5%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	11.8%	85.3%

Villefranche - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pean S. (G) 18. Abanda Mfomo D. 19. Ba I. 24. Bendaoud S. (C) 13. Camara B. 6. Da Silva C. 7. Latouchent R. 8. Louzif M. 9. Messoussa A. 4. Moussadek D. 11. Sidibe O.	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 27. Anani A. 17. Botella I. 11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 35. Doucoure R. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 3. Hachem R. 28. Kouagba L. (C) 2. Meyapya B.
Substitutes
15. Emmanuelli T. 2. Henry K. 23. Mai D. 12. M'Buyi C. 31. Ondoa F.	29. Benali H. 13. Doucoure F. 10. Ifnaoui M. 23. Ikanga J. 25. Ndoye C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Abanda Mfomo D. 🟨,
45+1', Botella I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Doucoure R. ⚽, Botella I. (A),
53', Eickmayer J. 🟨,
62', Sidibe O. ↓, Mai D. ↑,
64', Kouagba L. 🟨,
66', Eickmayer J. ↓, Ifnaoui M. ↑,
66', Kouagba L. ↓, Ndoye C. ↑,
68', Ba I. ↓, M'Buyi C. ↑,
68', Messoussa A. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
75', Doucoure R. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
75', Botella I. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
81', Dembi F. J. 🟨,
88', Durand D. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villefranche won 2.

Villefranche has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Red Star is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Red Star could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Red Star will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Villefranche won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Villefranche won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
12.03.24	Rouen FC - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Orleans - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Villefranche - Versailles	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	Villefranche - Le Mans	0:4 ✺
23.02.24	Nîmes - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
08.03.24	Red Star - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Avranches - Red Star	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Red Star - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Red Star - Le Mans	4:1 ✺
19.02.24	Rouen FC - Red Star	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
06.10.23	Red Star - Villefranche	2:0
20.01.23	Villefranche - Red Star	3:1
19.08.22	Red Star - Villefranche	1:0
25.02.22	Villefranche - Red Star	0:0
17.09.21	Red Star - Villefranche	0:1
30.03.21	Villefranche - Red Star	2:2
11.09.20	Red Star - Villefranche	0:2

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