Match Info

Super Lig - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Kocaelispor		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.03	3.44	3.58
	2.04	3.55	3.94
	2.14	3.22	3.50	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.01	3.5	3.9	Watch
	2.25	3.46	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.42)	3.4 ↓ (3.75)	3.46 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
45.1%

Draw
27.7%

Kayserispor
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	5.3%	21.1%

Kocaelispor - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kocaelispor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 2. Dijksteel A. 5. Appindangoye A. 34. Syrota O. 3. Cinan M. 75. Bingol T. 14. Show 98. Nonge J. 70. Keles C. 9. Petkovic B. 20. Mendes R. (C)	25. Bayazit B. (G) 11. Sazdagi G. (C) 4. Denswil S. 3. Burak A. 23. Carole L. 79. Ackah Y. 28. Civelek R. 10. Mendes J. 8. Benes L. 7. Cardoso M. 22. Tuci I.
Substitutes
7. Agyei D. 27. Bilim E. 17. Caglayan O. 8. Celik C. 30. Dalkilic B. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 18. Gedik F. 10. Linetty K. 99. Rivas R. 15. Serbest T.	21. Celtik Y. 38. Cihan K. 37. Jung G. 17. Kapacak B. 77. Korkmaz N. 20. Mane C. 30. Opoku A. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T. 24. Tokoz D.
Coaches
Inan S.	Gisdol M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Mendes R. ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
41', Keles C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Appindangoye A. ↓, Linetty K. ↑,
70', Cardoso M. 🟨,
72', Sazdagi G. 🟨,
75', Civelek R. ↓, Opoku A. ↑,
75', Burak A. ↓, Cihan K. ↑,
75', Keles C. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
82', Ackah Y. ↓, Tokoz D. ↑,
84', Linetty K. 🟨,
85', Nonge J. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
85', Show ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
86', Tuci I. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
86', Mendes J. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Benes L. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Petkovic B. ⚽, Rivas R. (A),
90+6', Caglayan O. 🟨,

Preview

Kocaelispor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kayserispor: Kocaman A. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
23.08.25	Fenerbahçe - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Kocaelispor - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	Trabzonspor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
11.05.25	Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Igdirspor - Kocaelispor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
24.08.25	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	0:4 ✺
17.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Kayserispor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTL

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