Match Info

I Lyga - Round 22

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sirvintu stadionas (Sirvintos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Transinvest		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.95	5.9
	1.44	4.16	4.59
	1.15	8.23	10.55	Watch
	1.42	4.9	5.25
	3.6	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (3.67)	5.2 ↑ (3.75)	5.61 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Transinvest
60.1%

Draw
20.7%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.7%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Transinvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Transinvest's performance.

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atmosfera Mažeikiai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (-35.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Transinvest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+33%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atmosfera Mažeikiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Transinvest - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Atmosfera (5.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Transinvest (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Transinvest (votes: 3 - 60%). Atmosfera (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virvilas J. (G) 33. Barauskas D. 49. Cesinha 8. Glushach Y. 80. Kloniunas E. 9. Nwoga C. 10. Radchenko A. 5. Sveikauskas R. 26. Tamasevicius A. 13. Tanaka H. 44. Zulpa A. (C)	1. Juska L. (G) 4. Aderounmu K. 21. Balde U. 15. Bawa M. 17. Fujiyoshi M. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 14. Gritkus E. 23. Mantinis K. 6. Pilipavicius A. 71. Seki K. 20. Srederis N.
Substitutes
18. Cesnauskis D. 19. Fedorov A. 4. Gujis L. 7. Ikugar K. 12. Kaskelevicius I. 99. Matuskevicius D. (G) 61. Onuskevicius G. 11. Petkus N. 77. Pilibaitis L. 27. Vlijter R.	8. Andriejauskas A. 10. Funami Y. 7. Horikoshi T. 33. Lopez K. (G) 9. Najulis K. 30. Patella S. R. 2. Stasys M. 3. Ugochukwu Ihekuna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Glushach Y. ⚽,
39', Aderounmu K. 🟨,
45', Nwoga C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga and 7).

Transinvest is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atmosfera is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Transinvest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atmosfera is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Transinvest won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian Division 2
22.08.25	Nevėžis - Transinvest	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Transinvest - Tauras Tauragė	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Neptūnas - Transinvest	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Transinvest - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Transinvest	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTW
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
23.08.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	4:1 ✺
03.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Transinvest	1:2

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