Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 32

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: FK TransINVEST stadium (Galine)

Referee: Paulauskas V. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Transinvest		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.00
	2.80	3.40	2.08
	3.11	3.61	2.17
	3.14	3.79	2.06	Watch
	3.00	3.55	2.14
	3.15	3.78	2.05	Watch
	3.10	3.40	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	2.07 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Transinvest
29.9%

Draw
25.8%

Žalgiris
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

25.5%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Transinvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Transinvest - Žalgiris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mostovei I. (G) 93. Girdvainis E. (C) 5. Sveikauskas R. 33. Barauskas D. 32. Musolitin M. 80. Kloniunas E. 17. Mavretic T. 88. Sluta D. 23. Xabi Auzmendi 8. Glushach Y. 9. Milosevic S.	12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 18. Sesplaukis D. 4. Koy Lupano D. 5. Turda G. 21. Franke D. 6. Capan M. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 27. Vareika M. 10. Golubickas P. 7. Mihajlovic N. 19. Bilenkyi S.
Substitutes
11. Akosah-Bempah N. 6. Bilbao I. 19. Boateng O. 7. Bosnjak D. 15. Koffi 10. Nwoga C. 12. Petkus N. 13. Tanaka H. 49. Tavares B. 1. Virvilas J. (G)	8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 9. Jarusevicius G. 20. Lytvynenko I. 44. Matyzonok P. 1. Olses C. (G) 14. Setkus M. 13. Upstas K. 16. Usavicius J. 22. Verbickas O. 26. Zahary Y.
Coaches
Stankevicius M.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Barauskas D. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
33', Franke D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Xabi Auzmendi ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Milosevic S. ⚽, Glushach Y. (A),
53', Girdvainis E. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Musolitin M. ⚽,
60', Franke D. ↓, Upstas K. ↑,
60', Mihajlovic N. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
76', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Transinvest won 2.

Transinvest has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Žalgiris is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Žalgiris may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Transinvest has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:13 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Transinvest against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Transinvest	28	13	6	9	43:35	8	45
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
14.09.26	Banga Gargždai - Transinvest	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Transinvest - FA Šiauliai	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Transinvest	1:1 ✺
10.08.26	Transinvest - Panevėžys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTL
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.09.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.07.26	Žalgiris - Transinvest	3:1
17.05.26	Transinvest - Žalgiris	1:0
16.03.26	Žalgiris - Transinvest	1:2
26.10.24	Transinvest - Žalgiris	0:1
14.08.24	Žalgiris - Transinvest	2:0
02.06.24	Transinvest - Žalgiris	1:3
Lithuanian Cup
30.05.24	Transinvest - Žalgiris	2:1

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