Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 31

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	BTV, LNK
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sūduva Marijampolė		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.20	2.60
	2.28	3.15	2.63
	2.46	3.45	2.83
	2.55	3.35	2.64	Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.80
	2.39	3.15	2.65	Watch
	2.42	3.10	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.47)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.68 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva Marijampolė
37.8%

Draw
28.2%

Žalgiris
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 23. Grigalava R. 5. Baltrunas Z. 4. Uzochukwu H. 11. Chajia M. 6. Sabo A. 8. Lawson S. (C) 7. Seck I. 94. Sanokho S. M. 19. Tangiri F.	12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 13. Upstas K. 4. Koy Lupano D. 15. Bosancic P. 21. Franke D. 6. Capan M. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 19. Bilenkyi S. 18. Sesplaukis D. 7. Mihajlovic N. 11. Petkovic N.
Substitutes
26. Antanavicius D. 9. Lucky T. 13. Mikulenas M. 18. Milasius T. 20. Omori Y. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 14. Steponavicius F. 16. Tsykalo Y. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G) 15. Zivanovic A.	8. Antal L. 10. Golubickas P. 9. Jarusevicius G. 23. Mamatsashvili S. 1. Olses C. (G) 70. Teixeira B. 5. Turda G. 22. Verbickas O.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Uzochukwu H. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Sanokho S. M. 🟨,
61', Tangiri F. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
61', Chajia M. ↓, Steponavicius F. ↑,
64', Petkovic N. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
69', Upstas K. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
69', Mihajlovic N. ↓, Teixeira B. ↑,
77', Seck I. ↓, Mikulenas M. ↑,
77', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Antanavicius D. ↑,
82', Franke D. ↓, Mamatsashvili S. ↑,
82', Capan M. ↓, Verbickas O. ↑,
82', Petkovic N. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
87', Golubickas P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 0.

Sūduva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Žalgiris has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sūduva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sūduva has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:41. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.09.26	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Hajduk Split - Žalgiris	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	1:1
10.03.26	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0
29.09.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	1:3
07.08.25	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0
19.06.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	2:2
16.04.25	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	3:0
25.08.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	1:1

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