Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 29

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Panevėžys		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.20	1.47
	4.8	3.95	1.52
	5.15	4.2	1.61
	4.87	4.67	1.54	Watch
	5.45	4.1	1.53
	4.71	4.29	1.61	Watch
	4.8	3.95	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.12)	4.19 ↑ (3.78)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
18.5%

Draw
21.9%

Žalgiris
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

23.8%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

23.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Panevėžys - Žalgiris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 5. van den Bos M. 13. Kerkez S. 33. Keita S. 95. Bopesu J. 8. Kouadio S. 6. Ramanauskas M. 77. Bizoza P. 80. Elivelton 27. Asamoah K. 28. Burdzilauskas E.	12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 18. Sesplaukis D. 4. Koy Lupano D. 15. Bosancic P. 21. Franke D. 20. Lytvynenko I. 6. Capan M. 10. Golubickas P. (C) 19. Bilenkyi S. 70. Teixeira B. 11. Petkovic N.
Substitutes
34. Asante I. 66. Balsys D. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 15. Janusevskis J. 50. Krasniqi L. 17. Kurtsev O. 79. Paulauskas V. 24. Petkevicius N. 32. Rasimavicius R. 12. Valius L. (G) 7. Veliulis E.	8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 9. Jarusevicius G. 23. Mamatsashvili S. 44. Matyzonok P. 7. Mihajlovic N. 1. Olses C. (G) 14. Setkus M. 5. Turda G. 13. Upstas K. 16. Usavicius J. 22. Verbickas O.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Sesplaukis D. (Own goal),
44', 2 - 0, Kouadio S. ⚽, Asamoah K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Petkovic N. ↓, Verbickas O. ↑,
46', Capan M. ↓, Upstas K. ↑,
54', Elivelton ↓, Petkevicius N. ↑,
56', Kouadio S. 🟨,
56', Kouadio S. 🟨,
59', Kerkez S. 🟨,
60', Bilenkyi S. (Penalty Awarded),
67', van den Bos M. ↓, Rasimavicius R. ↑,
67', Asamoah K. ↓, Paulauskas V. ↑,
73', Golubickas P. ↓, Antal L. ↑,
73', Sesplaukis D. ↓, Mihajlovic N. ↑,
78', Bilenkyi S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 2.

Panevėžys is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Žalgiris has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Panevėžys has had a series of away games.

Recently, Žalgiris has had a series of home games.

In this match, Žalgiris is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.08.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Transinvest - Panevėžys	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Panevėžys	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWTL
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.08.26	Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Hajduk Split - Žalgiris	4:0 ✺
06.08.26	Žalgiris - Hajduk Split	2:5 ✺
30.07.26	Žalgiris - Dinamo Tbilisi	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0
03.05.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:1
27.02.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	4:1
08.11.25	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	3:1
31.08.25	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	2:1
29.06.25	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:4
25.04.25	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	2:3

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