Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 29

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Trastevere		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.66	3.51	4.6
	1.66	3.58	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	4.63 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trastevere
54.5%

Draw
26%

Notaresco
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trastevere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Trastevere is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Nicolò Notaresco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Trastevere is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Trastevere won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Trastevere won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.03.23	Chieti - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Trastevere - Cynthialbalonga	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Montegiorgio - Trastevere	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Trastevere - Sambenedettese	3:2 ✺
19.02.23	Vigor Senigallia - Trastevere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTWL
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.03.23	Notaresco - Tolentino	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Pineto - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Notaresco - Nuova Florida	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Avezzano - Notaresco	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Chieti - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
20.11.22	Notaresco - Trastevere	0:2
06.02.22	Trastevere - Notaresco	4:1
26.09.21	Notaresco - Trastevere	0:2

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