The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montegiorgio 33.1%
Draw 31.3%
Trastevere 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
30.1%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
31.4%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montegiorgio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Trastevere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).
Montegiorgio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Trastevere is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Montegiorgio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.