Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Trastevere

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.87	3.4
	2.1	2.85	3.5
	2.07	2.94	3.56
	2.16	2.9	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.44)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.5 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
43%

Draw
31.2%

Trastevere
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vigor Senigallia's performance.

Trastevere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trastevere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vigor Senigallia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trastevere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vigor Senigallia - Trastevere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Vigor Senigallia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trastevere is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Tolentino - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Vigor Senigallia - Pineto	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Nuova Florida - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWTL
- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Trastevere - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Matese - Trastevere	4:1 ✺
29.01.23	Trastevere - Fano	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Termoli - Trastevere	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Trastevere - Vastese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
16.10.22	Trastevere - Vigor Senigallia	3:2

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