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Current Win Probability
Trastevere 58.9%
Draw 22%
Tolentino 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.5%
20.1%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.6%
18.9%
11.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trastevere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trastevere's form might have worsened.
Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolentino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trastevere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Trastevere - Tolentino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Trastevere is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tolentino has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Trastevere is indisputable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Trastevere won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Trastevere won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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