The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juvenes-Dogana 13.9%
Draw 22.1%
Virtus 64.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
10.5%
19.2%
70.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
9%
16.5%
74.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juvenes-Dogana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juvenes Dogana - Virtus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Badalassi I. ⚽, Buonocunto I. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 0.
Juvenes-Dogana has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Virtus is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Juvenes-Dogana has faced a series of away games on the road.
The betting markets point to Virtus as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Juvenes-Dogana has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:20 (averaging 0.6:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Juvenes-Dogana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:14 goals (averaging 1:2.3 per game).
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