Match Info

Date: 4 July 2022, Monday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Trelleborg		Norrby

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.48	3.25	2.75
	2.45	3.1	2.8
	2.58	3.35	2.89
	2.4	3	2.75	Watch
	2.47	3.38	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.21)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.81 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
37.9%

Draw
28.9%

Norrby
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	55.6%	16.7%

Trelleborg - Norrby Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Norrby will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 2.

Trelleborg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Norrby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Norrby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Trelleborg won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
28.06.22	Halmstad - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.06.22	Malmö - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
17.06.22	Trelleborg - IFK Göteborg	0:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
28.05.22	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Trelleborg - Öster	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTL
- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
28.06.22	Norrby - Östersund	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.06.22	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	1:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
28.05.22	Brage - Norrby	2:1 ✺
23.05.22	Norrby - Utsikten	0:2 ✺
19.05.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Norrby	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
18.09.21	Norrby - Trelleborg	1:1
11.04.21	Trelleborg - Norrby	2:1
05.10.20	Trelleborg - Norrby	2:2
16.08.20	Norrby - Trelleborg	1:3
20.10.19	Norrby - Trelleborg	4:0
15.04.19	Trelleborg - Norrby	1:1
15.08.17	Trelleborg - Norrby	5:1

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