Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 9

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Trento		Pro Sesto

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.75
	1.72	3.3	5	Watch
	1.72	3.25	5.43
	1.73	3.23	5.43
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.73	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.16)	3.25 ↑ (3)	5.03 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trento
53.8%

Draw
28.1%

Pro Sesto
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trento's performance.

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Sesto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Sesto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trento - Pro Sesto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Russo A. (G) 62. Frosinini R. 4. Trainotti A. 6. Ferri L. 19. Vaglica G. 77. Rada A. 34. Suciu S. 8. Attys C. 7. Anastasia E. 9. Petrovic T. 11. Terrani G.	22. Botti F. (G) 30. Toninelli D. 5. Marianucci L. 23. Mapelli F. 18. Palazzi A. 4. Gattoni T. 7. Sala A. 21. Bussaglia A. 3. Maurizii E. 20. Barranca F. 98. Bruschi N.
Substitutes
83. Barison A. 37. Brevi T. 22. Di Giorgio 2. Ercolani F. 17. Galazzini D. 5. Obaretin N. E. 10. Pasquato C. 12. Pozzer G. (G) 66. Vitturini D.	11. Arras D. 9. Basili D. 17. D'Alessio L. 26. Ferro L. 12. Formosa S. (G) 65. Giorgeschi S. 50. Iotti L. 28. Marchisano M. 10. Petrelli E. 8. Santarpia P. 32. Sereni M.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Trento has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pro Sesto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Pro Sesto have a series of home games.

In this match Trento is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Trento won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Trento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
14.10.23	Pergolettese - Trento	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Trento - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Trento	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.09.23	Trento - Padova	0:3 ✺
24.09.23	Fiorenzuola - Trento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.10.23	Pro Sesto - Padova	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Pro Sesto - Novara	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Alessandria - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Pro Sesto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.03.23	Pro Sesto - Trento	1:1
06.11.22	Trento - Pro Sesto	1:1
02.04.22	Trento - Pro Sesto	0:0
28.11.21	Pro Sesto - Trento	1:1

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