Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 29

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Briamasco (Trento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Trento		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.85	Watch
	1.66	3.85	5.42
	1.6	3.77	5.1	Watch
	1.6	3.4	4.8
	1.68	3.43	5.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	3.63 ↑ (3.54)	5.13 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trento
56.6%

Draw
25.4%

Lumezzane
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

24.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Trento aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Trento - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlocco S. (G) 23. Aucelli C. 39. Miranda K. 28. Corradi C. 44. Maffei M. 10. Giannotti P. 5. Sangalli M. (C) 20. Benedetti G. 24. Dalmonte N. 9. Ebone T. 71. Chinetti F.	50. Drago G. (G) 70. Mancini S. 23. Moscati M. 31. Stivanello R. 95. Motta M. 27. Napolitano G. 4. Paghera F. 6. Colangiuli V. 8. Rocca M. 20. Caccavo L. 21. Iori M.
Substitutes
36. Candelari P. 7. Capone C. 38. Corallo C. 12. Costantini F. (G) 14. Fossati M. 21. Ladisa M. 19. Muca Z. 11. Pellegrini J. 16. Rigione M. 22. Tommasi M. (G) 4. Trainotti A.	32. Anatriello G. 12. Battagliola L. (G) 99. Belvedere F. 17. De Marino D. 2. Deratti J. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 11. Ghillani A. 10. Malotti M. 45. Monachello G. 41. Scanzi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Napolitano G. ⚽,
39', Benedetti G. 🟨,
44', Napolitano G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Napolitano G. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
46', Dalmonte N. ↓, Capone C. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Giannotti P. ⚽,
62', Giannotti P. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
62', Ebone T. ↓, Pellegrini J. ↑,
64', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
69', Chinetti F. ↓, Ladisa M. ↑,
74', Iori M. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
76', Colangiuli V. 🟨,
78', Anatriello G. 🟨,
81', Miranda K. ↓, Trainotti A. ↑,
84', 🟨,
87', Colangiuli V. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 2.

Trento is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lumezzane is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Trento is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Trento will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Trento won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.26	Pro Vercelli - Trento	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Trento - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Trento	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pergolettese - Trento	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Trento - Lecco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWT
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.26	Lumezzane - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Inter U23 - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Lumezzane - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Lumezzane - Trento	1:1
16.02.25	Trento - Lumezzane	2:2
05.10.24	Lumezzane - Trento	0:2
13.02.24	Lumezzane - Trento	0:2
07.10.23	Trento - Lumezzane	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.01.18	Trento - Lumezzane	1:0

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