Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 7

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pro Sesto		Novara

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.35
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	2.82	3.25	2.53
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.78	3.05	2.41
	2.8	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (1.81)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	2.49 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
34%

Draw
29.3%

Novara
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Sesto's form might have worsened.

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Sesto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Pro Sesto - Novara Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Mapelli F. 30. Toninelli D. 5. Marianucci L. 65. Giorgeschi S. 3. Maurizii E. 7. Sala A. 4. Gattoni T. 18. Palazzi A. 20. Barranca F. 11. Arras D.	31. Desjardins A. (G) 26. Boccia S. 6. Bertoncini D. (C) 32. Caradonna L. 30. Migliardi F. 98. Bagatti N. 8. Di Munno A. 16. Calcagni R. 10. Donadio C. 9. Scappini S. 33. D'Orazio L.
Substitutes
9. Basili D. 22. Botti F. (G) 98. Bruschi N. 21. Bussaglia A. 17. D'Alessio L. 26. Ferro L. 12. Formosa S. (G) 50. Iotti L. 10. Petrelli E. 16. Petrungaro L. 8. Santarpia P. 32. Sereni M.	5. Bonaccorsi S. 12. Boscolo Palo G. (G) 11. Corti N. 7. Gerardini F. 25. Gerbino S. 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 4. Prinelli L. 21. Ranieri R. 27. Rossetti S. 23. Savini G. 17. Scaringi M. 24. Speranza M. 3. Urso O.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Pro Sesto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Novara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Alessandria - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Pro Sesto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
20.09.23	Pro Vercelli - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Mantova - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTL
- Novara Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Novara - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Padova - Novara	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Novara - Trento	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.02.23	Novara - Pro Sesto	0:1
19.10.22	Pro Sesto - Novara	2:1
27.02.21	Novara - Pro Sesto	0:0
01.11.20	Pro Sesto - Novara	3:0

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