Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 30

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Trestina		Città di Castello

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.1	3.05	3.2
	2.08	3.04	3.39
	2.08	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)	3.27 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
43.2%

Draw
29.2%

Città di Castello
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Città di Castello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Trestina - Città di Castello Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trestina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Trestina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Città di Castello has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Trestina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trestina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
01.04.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Trestina	1:4 ✺
19.03.23	Trestina - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Trestina	4:1 ✺
05.03.23	Trestina - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Terranuova Traiana - Trestina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW
- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.04.23	Città di Castello - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Pianese - Città di Castello	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Città di Castello - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Arezzo - Città di Castello	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Città di Castello - Tau Altopascio	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
27.11.22	Città di Castello - Trestina	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
01.10.16	Città di Castello - Trestina	2:1

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