Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 29

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Città di Castello		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.15
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.91	3.36	2.16
	3.04	3.28	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.12)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Castello
30.9%

Draw
27.5%

Follonica Gavorrano
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.3%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Castello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Città di Castello - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Città di Castello has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Follonica Gavorrano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Follonica Gavorrano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Follonica Gavorrano to win the game is with odds 1.89.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Città di Castello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.03.23	Pianese - Città di Castello	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Città di Castello - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Arezzo - Città di Castello	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Città di Castello - Tau Altopascio	1:3 ✺
19.02.23	Livorno - Città di Castello	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.03.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Terranuova Traiana	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Follonica Gavorrano	3:2 ✺
05.03.23	Follonica Gavorrano - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
20.11.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Città di Castello	2:2

Città di Castello - Follonica Gavorrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide