Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 31Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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Trestina |
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Follonica Gavorrano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.15 |
2.88 |
3.3 |
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2.14 |
2.97 |
3.25 |
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2.16 |
3.06 |
3.31 |
 Watch |
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2.15 |
2.8 |
3.25 |
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2.18 |
3.21 |
3.36 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.92) |
2.98 ↓
(3.3) |
3.29 ↓
(3.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Trestina
42.1% | Draw
30.4% | Follonica Gavorrano
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Ferri Marini D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Fossati D. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 1.Trestina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Follonica Gavorrano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Trestina will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.7:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 30.11.25 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 1:1 | | 11.05.25 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 1:2 ET | | 23.02.25 | Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano | 0:0 | | Coppa Italia Serie D | | | 06.11.24 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 1:0 | | Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 23.10.24 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 3:0 | | 03.12.23 | Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano | 1:0 | | 28.01.23 | Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina | 0:0 |
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