Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 32

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Trestina		Montespaccato

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	2.11	3.17	3.16
	2.08	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.75)	3.21 ↓ (3.31)	3.37 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
44.8%

Draw
28.3%

Montespaccato
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.

Montespaccato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Trestina - Montespaccato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Trestina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montespaccato is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Trestina is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Trestina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Trestina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.04.23	Livorno - Trestina	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Trestina - Città di Castello	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Trestina	1:4 ✺
19.03.23	Trestina - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Trestina	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWLL
- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.04.23	Montespaccato - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Pianese - Montespaccato	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Montespaccato - Poggibonsi	2:4 ✺
18.03.23	Arezzo - Montespaccato	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Montespaccato - Tau Altopascio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
11.12.22	Montespaccato - Trestina	2:0
01.05.22	Montespaccato - Trestina	3:1
18.12.21	Trestina - Montespaccato	0:0
21.02.21	Montespaccato - Trestina	2:1

Trestina - Montespaccato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide