Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 28

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Arezzo		Montespaccato

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.4	7.25
	1.35	4.53	6.77
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.34	4.65	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.48 ↑ (4.32)	7.01 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
66.8%

Draw
20.3%

Montespaccato
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Arezzo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Montespaccato is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Arezzo is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arezzo to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.03.23	Livorno - Arezzo	0:4 ✺
05.03.23	Arezzo - Città di Castello	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Arezzo - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW
- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.03.23	Montespaccato - Tau Altopascio	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Livorno - Montespaccato	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Montespaccato - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Montespaccato - Mobilieri Ponsacco	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Grosseto - Montespaccato	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
13.11.22	Montespaccato - Arezzo	1:1
13.02.22	Montespaccato - Arezzo	1:1
03.10.21	Arezzo - Montespaccato	1:0

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