Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 29

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Montespaccato		Poggibonsi

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.25	3.65	1.65
	4.39	3.91	1.57
	4.42	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.23)	3.79 ↑ (3.21)	1.63 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
20.9%

Draw
23.7%

Poggibonsi
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.3%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montespaccato's form might have worsened.

Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poggibonsi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montespaccato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poggibonsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montespaccato - Poggibonsi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Montespaccato is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poggibonsi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montespaccato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Poggibonsi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montespaccato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Montespaccato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.03.23	Arezzo - Montespaccato	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Montespaccato - Tau Altopascio	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Livorno - Montespaccato	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Montespaccato - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Montespaccato - Mobilieri Ponsacco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTT
- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.03.23	Poggibonsi - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Città di Castello - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	2:3 ✺
26.02.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Poggibonsi	4:2 ✺
19.02.23	Poggibonsi - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
20.11.22	Poggibonsi - Montespaccato	1:0
13.03.22	Montespaccato - Poggibonsi	3:0
31.10.21	Poggibonsi - Montespaccato	3:0

Montespaccato - Poggibonsi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide