Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Trestina		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.75	3.05	2.4
	2.35	2.98	2.9
	2.4	3.2	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.73)	3.06 ↑ (3.02)	2.65 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
36.2%

Draw
29.6%

Ostia Mare
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

31.7%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ostia Mare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trestina - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 12).

Trestina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Trestina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Trestina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.04.23	Arezzo - Trestina	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Trestina - Montespaccato	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Livorno - Trestina	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Trestina - Città di Castello	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Trestina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTTTW
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.04.23	Ostia Mare - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Pianese - Ostia Mare	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Ostia Mare - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
06.04.23	Arezzo - Ostia Mare	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Ostia Mare - Tau Altopascio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.22	Ostia Mare - Trestina	0:0
06.06.21	Ostia Mare - Trestina	1:1
30.01.21	Trestina - Ostia Mare	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
15.01.17	Ostia Mare - Trestina	2:1

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