Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 29

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Ostia Mare		Tau Altopascio

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.9	2.8
	2.38	2.88	2.91
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.96)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	2.84 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
37.2%

Draw
31.1%

Tau Altopascio
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ostia Mare's form might have worsened.

Tau Altopascio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tau Altopascio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ostia Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tau Altopascio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ostia Mare will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.03.23	Ostia Mare - Livorno	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Grosseto - Ostia Mare	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ostia Mare - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Montespaccato - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Ostia Mare - Seravezza Pozzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLTW
- Tau Altopascio
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.03.23	Tau Altopascio - Mobilieri Ponsacco	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Montespaccato - Tau Altopascio	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Tau Altopascio - Seravezza Pozzi	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Città di Castello - Tau Altopascio	1:3 ✺
19.02.23	Tau Altopascio - Terranuova Traiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
20.11.22	Tau Altopascio - Ostia Mare	0:0

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