Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Trestina		Poggibonsi

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.26	4.1
	2.24	3.34	2.89	Watch
	1.93	3.22	3.68
	2.08	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.47 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Trestina
45.6%

Draw
28%

Poggibonsi
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trestina's performance.

Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poggibonsi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Trestina - Poggibonsi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trestina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 0.

Trestina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Poggibonsi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Trestina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.11.25	Orvietana - Trestina	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Trestina - Tau Altopascio	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cannara - Trestina	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Trestina - Camaiore	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Trestina - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWL
- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.11.25	Poggibonsi - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Grosseto - Poggibonsi	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Foligno - Poggibonsi	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Poggibonsi - Prato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
05.01.25	Poggibonsi - Trestina	2:1
08.09.24	Trestina - Poggibonsi	0:1
14.01.24	Poggibonsi - Trestina	1:1
17.09.23	Trestina - Poggibonsi	1:3
22.01.23	Poggibonsi - Trestina	2:1
18.09.22	Trestina - Poggibonsi	3:1
27.02.22	Trestina - Poggibonsi	2:0

Trestina - Poggibonsi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide