Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Poggibonsi

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.45	7.7
	1.71	3.31	4.88	Watch
	1.44	4.53	6.47
	1.67	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	3.9 ↑ (3.4)	6.01 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
60.6%

Draw
23.9%

Poggibonsi
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grosseto's performance.

Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Grosseto - Poggibonsi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grosseto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Grosseto (1.50) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Grosseto (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Benedetti L. ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Marzierli E. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Boriosi M. (Pen),
85', 3 - 1, Marzierli E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Grosseto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Poggibonsi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Grosseto is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.10.25	Orvietana - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Grosseto - Tau Altopascio	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Grosseto - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.25	Trestina - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Grosseto - Camaiore	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWT
- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.10.25	Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Foligno - Poggibonsi	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Poggibonsi - Prato	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Ghiviborgo - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Poggibonsi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.01.25	Poggibonsi - Grosseto	0:1
22.09.24	Grosseto - Poggibonsi	1:2
10.03.24	Poggibonsi - Grosseto	1:2
01.11.23	Grosseto - Poggibonsi	1:0
08.01.23	Grosseto - Poggibonsi	1:2

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