Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Campina Grande) 🌤️ ...


	Treze		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.52	3.67	6.25	Watch
	1.49	3.78	6.21
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	5.94 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
60.3%

Draw
24.4%

Itabaiana
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Treze - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Treze is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Itabaiana is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent matches Treze is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Itabaiana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Itabaiana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Treze is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Treze won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Treze won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Serie D
25.08.24	Itabaiana - Treze	3:1 ✺
18.08.24	Treze - Altos	2:2 penalties ✺
10.08.24	Altos - Treze	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Treze - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Treze	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
25.08.24	Itabaiana - Treze	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Porto Velho - Itabaiana	1:2 penalties ✺
11.08.24	Itabaiana - Porto Velho	2:2 ✺
04.08.24	Itabaiana - Atlético Cearense	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Atlético Cearense - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.08.24	Itabaiana - Treze	3:1
13.05.18	Itabaiana - Treze	3:3
06.05.18	Treze - Itabaiana	1:0

Treze - Itabaiana