Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Triestina		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.98
	2.42	3.1	2.95
	2.52	3.01	2.89	Watch
	2.35	2.98	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.27)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	2.95 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Triestina
38.3%

Draw
30.4%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 2. Silvestro A. 23. Silvestri T. 6. Moretti A. 21. Tonetto M. 26. D'Amore F. 17. Jonsson K. 14. Anzolin M. 10. D'Urso C. 9. Vertainen E. 27. Faggioli A.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 5. Rossoni S. 57. Milillo A. 33. Boffelli A. (C) 26. Boccia S. 6. Lakti E. 15. Bianchi N. 16. Moretti M. 23. Bernardi E. 10. Minesso M. 32. Nanni N.
Substitutes
22. Borriello F. (G) . Crngoj 11. Gunduz T. 13. Kiyine S. . Kljajic N. 18. Louati A. 30. Neri F. (G) 4. Rodolfo Moises 16. Vicario J.	11. Basso Ricci A. 13. Cariolato F. 4. Chiarello R. 27. Coppola A. 8. Damiani M. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 9. Mattioli A. 1. Nespola M. (G) 25. Spaggiari R. 19. Toniolo F. 44. Valentini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Moretti M. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Milillo A. ⚽,
41', Faggioli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Vertainen E. ⚽,
59', D'Urso C. ↓, Kiyine S. ↑,
59', Nanni N. ↓, Mattioli A. ↑,
59', Moretti M. ↓, Cariolato F. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Vertainen E. ⚽,
85', D'Amore F. ↓, Louati A. ↑,
86', Faggioli A. ↓, Tonetto M. ↑,
87', Lakti E. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
87', Silvestro A. ↓, Rodolfo Moises ↑,
89', Tonetto M. 🟨,
90+4', Vertainen E. ↓, Kljajic N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3.

Recent performances by Triestina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Triestina - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.25	Lumezzane - Triestina	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Triestina - Lecco	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Alcione - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTLL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
12.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Vicenza Virtus - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Virtus Verona	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Brescia - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	3:0
24.08.24	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:0
30.03.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	1:2
25.11.23	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	4:1
08.01.23	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1

Upcoming Matches