Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.55
	2.06	3.15	3.9
	1.99	3.24	3.64	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.04	3.35	3.56	Watch
	1.96	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
45.8%

Draw
29.1%

Triestina
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

24%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union ArzignanoChiampo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Manfrin F. (G) 23. Bernardi E. 26. Boccia S. 57. Milillo A. 13. Cariolato F. 17. Castegnaro L. 6. Lakti E. (C) 19. Toniolo F. 15. Bianchi N. 32. Nanni N. 9. Mattioli A.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 23. Silvestri T. (C) 6. Moretti A. 26. D'Amore F. 17. Jonsson K. 15. Voca I. 21. Tonetto M. 28. Pedicillo L. 29. Kljajic N. 10. D'Urso C.
Substitutes
1. Bertini T. (G) 4. Chiarello R. 8. Damiani M. 47. Jamali N. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 10. Minesso M. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G.	77. Ascione S. 8. Attys C. 19. Bagnoli E. 22. Borriello F. (G) 20. Davis H. 61. Diakite M. (G) 43. Gningue 5. Kosijer S. 32. Okolo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Moretti A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Lakti E. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Lakti E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', D'Amore F. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Mattioli A. ⚽,
54', Nanni N. ↓, Minesso M. ↑,
59', D'Urso C. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
59', Kljajic N. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,
63', Bianchi N. ↓, Chiarello R. ↑,
63', Mattioli A. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Okolo D. ⚽,
71', 4 - 1, Lanzi E. ⚽,
72', Lanzi E. 🟨,
84', Bernardi E. ↓, Nwachukwu S. J. ↑,
84', Castegnaro L. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
90', Lakti E. 🟨,
90+2', Pedicillo L. ↓, Bagnoli E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 2.

In recent matches, ArzignanoChiampo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Triestina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Triestina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ArzignanoChiampo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ArzignanoChiampo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.26	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Virtus Verona - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Brescia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Pro Vercelli - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
23.01.26	Triestina - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ospitaletto - Triestina	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Lecco - Triestina	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	Triestina - Alcione	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	3:0
24.08.24	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:0
30.03.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	1:2
25.11.23	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	4:1
08.01.23	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1

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