Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Lumezzane		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.3
	2.25	3.05	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.09	3
	2.08	3.18	3.44	Watch
	2.38	2.8	2.88
	2.41	3.05	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	3.13 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
40.5%

Draw
30.2%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lumezzane will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - ArzignanoChiampo (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - ArzignanoChiampo (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ArzignanoChiampo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Drago G. (G) 70. Mancini S. 23. Moscati M. 31. Stivanello R. 95. Motta M. 8. Rocca M. 4. Paghera F. 19. Rolando M. 21. Iori M. 7. Ferro M. 32. Anatriello G.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 5. Rossoni S. 33. Boffelli A. 57. Milillo A. 13. Cariolato F. 6. Lakti E. 16. Moretti M. 19. Toniolo F. 10. Minesso M. 17. Castegnaro L. 9. Mattioli A.
Substitutes
12. Battagliola L. (G) 99. Belvedere F. 20. Caccavo L. 6. Colangiuli V. 17. De Marino D. 2. Deratti J. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 27. Gallea F. 11. Ghillani A. 10. Malotti M. 45. Monachello G. 41. Scanzi M.	23. Bernardi E. 1. Bertini T. (G) 15. Bianchi N. 26. Boccia S. 8. Damiani M. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 32. Nanni N. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Moretti M. ⚽,
44', Motta M. 🟨,
45', Stivanello R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Motta M. ↓, Deratti J. ↑,
46', Iori M. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
61', Toniolo F. 🟨,
62', Anatriello G. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
62', Rolando M. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
65', Toniolo F. ↓, Bernardi E. ↑,
65', Mattioli A. ↓, Nanni N. ↑,
72', Rossoni S. ↓, Boccia S. ↑,
72', Minesso M. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
76', Manfrin F. 🟨,
80', Boffelli A. 🟨,
81', Milillo A. 🟨,
83', Stivanello R. ↓, Monachello G. ↑,
90+3', Rocca M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 2.

Lumezzane has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lumezzane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Trento - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lumezzane - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Inter U23 - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Lumezzane - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWTL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Trento	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	3:3
08.02.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	1:1
30.09.24	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0
01.03.24	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	2:0

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