Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Tripoli		Hekmeh

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	4
	1.77	3.18	4.27
	1.78	3.18	4.28
	1.8	3.25	3.7
	1.76	3.3	4.47	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.27)	3.24 ↑ (2.9)	4.19 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tripoli
50.7%

Draw
27.8%

Hekmeh
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

31.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tripoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tripoli's performance.

Hekmeh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hekmeh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tripoli than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tripoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hekmeh than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hekmeh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tripoli won 3.

Tripoli is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hekmeh is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Hekmeh have a series of home games.

Tripoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tripoli won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tripoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tripoli SC
Lebanese Premier League
03.03.24	Tripoli - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Tripoli - Shabab Al Sahel	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Al Ahli Nabatiya - Tripoli	1:0 ✺
16.02.24	Tripoli - Tadamon Sour	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW
- Hekmeh FC
Lebanese Premier League
03.03.24	Hekmeh - Al Ahli Nabatiya	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Hekmeh - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Hekmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
03.02.24	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:2
10.12.23	Tripoli - Hekmeh	1:0
04.03.23	Tripoli - Hekmeh	2:0
27.01.23	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:0
01.10.22	Tripoli - Hekmeh	0:2
24.04.22	Hekmeh - Tripoli	1:1
02.04.22	Tripoli - Hekmeh	1:2

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