Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Tristán Suárez		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.75	4.1	Watch
	2.05	2.72	4.25	Watch
	2.11	2.73	4.73
	2.11	2.69	4.61	Watch
	2.15	2.7	4
	2.04	2.64	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)	2.71 ↓ (2.72)	4.34 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
44.3%

Draw
34.3%

Atlético de Rafaela
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

33.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

31.6%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tristán Suárez: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Olguin M. 2. Aguilar B. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Veliez A. 5. Del Priore N. 10. Colli K. 11. Almada A. 7. Molina A. 9. Berrondo A.	1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Solveyra A. 2. Ramos N. 6. Ponce F. 3. Wuattier E. 8. Capurro J. 5. Soloa F. 10. Fernandez M. 11. Flores L. 7. Moreno M. 9. Albertengo L.
Substitutes
20. Alvarez M. 18. Becker D. 19. Beron J. 14. Guillen M. 13. Henry N. 17. Luayza M. 12. Mendive J. (G) 15. Sanchez A. 16. Trasante J.	18. Bonifacio J. 13. Fernandez G. 19. Leineker C. 12. Martinez R. (G) 14. Nouet F. 16. Obando A. 20. Protti I. 15. Suarez R. 17. Torrens J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Solveyra A. 🟨,
40', Almada A. 🟨,
45', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Solveyra A. ↓, Bonifacio J. ↑,
62', Berrondo A. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
62', Veliez A. ↓, Trasante J. ↑,
65', Trasante J. 🟨,
71', Albertengo L. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
76', Almada A. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
76', Colli K. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
78', Fernandez M. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
78', Moreno M. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
87', Molina A. ↓, Guillen M. ↑,
90', Ramos N. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Tristán Suárez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Rafaela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tristán Suárez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tristán Suárez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Copa Argentina
08.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.04.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Tristán Suárez	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tristán Suárez - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWT
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Güemes	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.03.26	Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0
10.02.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Tristán Suárez	3:0
26.06.22	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	4:0
25.09.21	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2
13.05.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Tristán Suárez	2:2

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