Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Tritium		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	3.37	3.36	1.92
	3.37	3.36	1.93
	3.8	3.25	1.83
	3.54	3.48	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritium
25.3%

Draw
26.8%

Caravaggio
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

25.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

25.5%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Caravaggio is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tritium won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tritium won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.11.23	Arconatese - Tritium	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Folgore Caratese - Tritium	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Tritium - Clivense	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Tritium	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	Tritium - Casatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTTLT
- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.11.23	Caravaggio - Clivense	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Casatese - Caravaggio	3:4 ✺
12.11.23	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Villa Valle - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
28.03.21	Caravaggio - Tritium	2:2
22.11.20	Tritium - Caravaggio	2:2

Tritium - Caravaggio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide