Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Casatese		Caravaggio

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Casatese
45.5%

Draw
26.8%

Caravaggio
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Caravaggio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Casatese have a series of guest games.

Casatese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Casatese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Casatese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Vado - Casatese	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Arconatese - Casatese	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Tritium - Casatese	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Casatese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTTL
- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Villa Valle - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Varesina - Caravaggio	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Caravaggio - Real Calepina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTW

Casatese - Caravaggio