Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Tritones Vallarta		Mazorqueros

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.88
	3.75	3.65	1.8
	3.8	3.2	1.8
	3.63	3.62	1.9
	3.65	3.62	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.4)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	1.85 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
24.9%

Draw
26.1%

Mazorqueros
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tritones Vallarta's form might have worsened.

Mazorqueros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mazorqueros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tritones Vallarta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazorqueros than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mazorqueros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Tritones Vallarta - Mazorqueros Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tritones Vallarta will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Mazorqueros will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mazorqueros: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Tritones Vallarta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mazorqueros is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mazorqueros will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tritones Vallarta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.04.22	Tritones Vallarta - Yalmakán	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Yalmakán - Tritones Vallarta	0:1 ✺
08.04.22	Coras - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Colima - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW
- Mazorqueros FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.04.22	Mazorqueros - Escorpiones	9:1 ✺
16.04.22	Escorpiones - Mazorqueros	1:2 ✺
08.04.22	Tecos FC - Mazorqueros	3:2 penalties ✺
02.04.22	Mazorqueros - Correcaminos UAT 2	5:1 ✺
26.03.22	Mazorqueros - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.03.22	Mazorqueros - Tritones Vallarta	1:0

Tritones Vallarta - Mazorqueros