Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Tritones Vallarta		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.47	2.67	Watch
	2.33	3.15	2.82	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	2.76 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
39.6%

Draw
27.6%

Leones Negros 2
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Leones Negros 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Suarez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 2.

Tritones Vallarta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leones Negros 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leones Negros 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tritones Vallarta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Tecos FC - Tritones Vallarta	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Tritones Vallarta - Guerreros de Autlán	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Ensenada	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Zapotlanejo - Leones Negros 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:2
09.11.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	1:1
09.03.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	0:2
08.10.23	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	0:2
25.02.23	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:0
01.10.22	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	0:3
02.04.22	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:2

Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide