Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Tritones Vallarta		Purépechas

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Tritones Vallarta
40%

Draw
28.9%

Purépechas
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

26.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Purépechas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Purépechas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 9th and 7th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Recently, Tritones Vallarta has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Primera Premier
10.10.26	Irapuato - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Lobos ULMX - Tritones Vallarta	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Tritones Vallarta - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLT
- Purépechas FC
Mexican Primera Premier
11.10.26	Purépechas - Lobos ULMX	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Tigres de Álica - Purépechas	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Purépechas - Los Cabos United	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Purépechas	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	La Piedad - Purépechas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Tritones Vallarta - Purépechas