Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 11

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Romssa Arena (Tromsø)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)


	Tromsø		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.06	3.3	3.75
	2.16	3.39	3.71
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.07	3.4	3.62	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)	3.53 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
44.7%

Draw
28.7%

Stabæk
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	8.3%	1.7%

Tromsø - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: Tromsø will win (54 of 60 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.41% – 97.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Thomas S. (G) 19. Vesterlund N. 20. Oyvann C. 28. Psyche C. 4. Gundersen J. 24. Bassi D. 17. Paintsil Y. 22. Opsahl S. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 8. Antonsen K. 15. Erlien V.	21. Pettersson I. (G) 4. Wangberg S. (C) 3. Naess N. 6. Skovgaard A. 7. Haugen F. 8. Edwards C. 14. Krogstad F. 20. Andresen A. 33. Pachonik T. 9. Bakenga M. 69. Hogh K.
Substitutes
26. Diouf K. 21. Hafstad T. 27. Hjerto-Dahl J. 5. Jenssen A. 16. Koskela M. 3. Robertsen J. 10. Romsaas J. 32. Tollefsen M. (G) 29. Traore M.	10. Geelmuyden H. 5. Jensen N. 24. Kostadinov K. 47. Lucca J. 15. Ottesen S. 1. Ulla M. (G) 11. Walstad N.
Coaches
Andressen L.	Bohinen L.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Tromsø has the most likely position - 4 (12.24%), project points - 47, currently - 20, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Stabæk has the most likely position - 11 (12.34%), project points - 39, currently - 15, a small chance of relegated (7%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, very small importance 8, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 2.

Tromsø in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Stabæk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Tromsø have a series of guest games.

Tromsø will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Tromsø: Mikaelsson H. (Injury) Opsahl O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stabæk: Kabran K. (Injury) Pedersen K. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Tromsø won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.06.23	Aalesunds - Tromsø	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Alta - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.06.23	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Tromsdalen - Tromsø	1:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.23	Haugesund - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.06.23	Stabæk - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
04.06.23	Lillestrøm SK - Stabæk	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Kjelsås - Stabæk	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.23	Stabæk - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
16.05.23	Brann - Stabæk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
28.11.21	Tromsø - Stabæk	0:0
14.06.21	Stabæk - Tromsø	0:3
01.12.19	Tromsø - Stabæk	1:1
17.06.19	Stabæk - Tromsø	0:1
Club Friendly
23.02.19	Stabæk - Tromsø	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.09.18	Tromsø - Stabæk	0:0
15.04.18	Stabæk - Tromsø	1:1

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