Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Stabæk		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.9	2.25
	2.7	3.75	2.15
	2.75	4	2.25	Watch
	2.74	4.08	2.29
	2.71	3.95	2.26	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.1
	2.74	3.9	2.25	Watch
	2.75	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.17)	3.92 ↓ (4.02)	2.23 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
34.3%

Draw
23.8%

Vålerenga
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

23.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

23%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stabæk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vålerenga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Stabæk - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stabæk: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossbach S. (G) 15. Veum O. 4. Naess N. (C) 11. Walstad N. 29. Ekorness K. 14. Roberts T. 6. Christensen M. 27. Wendt W. 7. Vinge R. E. 9. Diabate B. 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 3. Kjelsen A. 4. Olsen A. 55. Jarl S. 2. Borchgrevink C. 24. Strand P. 29. Ambina F. 15. Hagen E. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 80. Brajanac M. 8. Bjordal H.
Substitutes
18. Bawa A. 10. Geelmuyden H. 16. Hoven A. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 17. Olderheim S. 2. Pedersen K. 5. Skjelvik J. 23. Ulla M. (G) 32. Victorio A.	5. Fasika I. 77. Jarosinski L. (G) 19. Kamara O. 14. Obasi O. 9. Rijks M. 22. Sjovold S. 11. Usman T.
Coaches
Riise B.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Spiten-Nysaeter O. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Hagen E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vinge R. E. ↓, Olderheim S. ↑,
55', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
60', Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↓, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ↑,
60', Veum O. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
81', Borchgrevink C. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
81', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Diabate B. ⚽,
85', Strand P. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
86', Walstad N. 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, Bjordal H. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Vålerenga is Qualified for Eliteserien

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 2.

Recent matches Stabæk is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vålerenga is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Vålerenga have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Stabæk won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.24	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.24	Stabæk - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.24	Levanger - Stabæk	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Stabæk - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Egersund - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.24	Vålerenga - Egersund	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.24	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	0:1 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.24	Vålerenga - Mjøndalen	4:2 ✺
28.09.24	Kongsvinger - Vålerenga	2:2 ✺
24.09.24	Vålerenga - Aalesunds	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.04.24	Vålerenga - Stabæk	1:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.11.23	Vålerenga - Stabæk	0:0
29.05.23	Stabæk - Vålerenga	2:1
Club Friendly
23.02.22	Vålerenga - Stabæk	3:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.08.21	Vålerenga - Stabæk	3:1
24.06.21	Stabæk - Vålerenga	0:2
02.12.20	Stabæk - Vålerenga	1:1

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