Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: TUIL arena (Tromsø)


	Tromsdalen		Sandefjord

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.95	1.82
	3.77	3.96	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.7)	3.96 ↓ (4.45)	1.83 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsdalen
25.5%

Draw
23.6%

Sandefjord
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

20.8%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

16.5%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsdalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsdalen's performance.

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandefjord might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsdalen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tromsdalen - Sandefjord Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tromsdalen will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tromsdalen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Tromsdalen (4.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Tromsdalen (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tromsdalen (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trige M. (G) 5. Hafstad T. 4. Laugsand S. (C) 6. Hansen M. 3. Nilsen L. 32. Johansen P. 22. Eliassen A. 77. Pedersen A. 20. Selnes I. K. 8. Skogvoll E. 9. Aarflot E.	1. Gronneberg A. (C) 2. Reinert P. 5. van der Spa A. 16. Skretteberg H. B. 28. Agelin T. 6. Fredheim A. 17. Halvorsen K. 21. Swift J. 7. Blomdahl A. 9. Holtung V. 19. Berntsen B.
Substitutes
19. Adolfsen I. 24. Breivik C. 16. Johnsgard H. 31. Kristoffersen O. 21. Nilsen-Modebe S. 17. Sandbukt A. 7. Swaleh K. 40. Tollefsen M. (G) 44. Vadebu O.	11. Birkelund K. 27. Holtung A. 10. Huchard-Nije L. 4. Johnsen E. 13. Omerinovic A. (G)
Coaches
Samuelsen A.	Tegstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Pedersen A. ⚽, Eliassen A. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Aarflot E. ⚽, Selnes I. K. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Hansen M. ↓, Sandbukt A. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Berntsen B. ⚽, Swift J. (A),
59', 3 - 1, Pedersen A. ⚽, Selnes I. K. (A),
60', Skogvoll E. ↓, Kristoffersen O. ↑,
61', Hafstad T. ↓, Johnsgard H. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Aarflot E. ⚽, Sandbukt A. (A),
70', 5 - 1, Nilsen L. ⚽,
73', Laugsand S. 🟨,
73', Holtung V. ↓, Huchard-Nije L. ↑,
74', Laugsand S. ↓, Vadebu O. ↑,
74', Blomdahl A. 🟨,
77', Selnes I. K. 🟨,
78', Agelin T. ↓, Johnsen E. ↑,
79', Selnes I. K. ↓, Breivik C. ↑,
82', Johansen P. 🟨,
83', Fredheim A. ↓, Holtung A. ↑,
86', 6 - 1, Sandbukt A. ⚽, Eliassen A. (A),

Preview

Tromsdalen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sandefjord has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sandefjord may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sandefjord is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tromsdalen will win today's game, with odds of 4.15.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tromsdalen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tromsdalen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsdalen Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
14.09.25	Eidsvold Turn - Tromsdalen	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Tromsdalen - Hønefoss	5:1 ✺
30.08.25	Levanger - Tromsdalen	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Tromsdalen - Kjelsås	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Asker Fotball - Tromsdalen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTT
- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Sandefjord - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Kristiansund - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Sandefjord - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.08.19	Sandefjord - Tromsdalen	1:0
22.04.19	Tromsdalen - Sandefjord	3:3
21.09.14	Tromsdalen - Sandefjord	1:2

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