The best margin for this event is 17.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tropezón 53.9%
Draw 26.2%
Cayón 19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
24.1%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Tropezón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Cayón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 0.
Tropezón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cayón's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tropezón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tropezón is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).