Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Tropezón

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.45	5.15
	1.58	3.55	5.88
	1.59	3.49	5.8	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.66	3.53	5.45
	1.9	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.9)	3.43 ↑ (3.05)	5.19 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
55.7%

Draw
26.7%

Tropezón
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástica de Torrelavega's performance.

Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tropezón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica de Torrelavega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tropezón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Tropezón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrelavega won 2.

Torrelavega is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tropezón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Torrelavega may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Torrelavega is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Torrelavega will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Torrelavega won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Torrelavega won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tropezon	5	5	0	0	11:2	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
14.03.26	Cartes - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Albericia - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Revilla	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Colindres	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWW
- CD Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.03.26	Tropezón - Revilla	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Guarnizo - Tropezón	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tropezón - Colindres	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Barquereño - Tropezón	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Selaya - Tropezón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1
Club Friendly
23.08.24	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.02.21	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Tropezón	1:1
22.12.19	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1
15.10.17	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Tropezón	1:1

Upcoming Matches