Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Play Out - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Crema		Tropical Coriano

	1	X	2
	2.13	2.58	3.92
	2.22	2.55	3.99	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.44
	2	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.98)	2.9 ↓ (3.3)	3.71 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
43.7%

Draw
31.6%

Tropical Coriano
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Tropical Coriano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (+1%)

Crema - Tropical Coriano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mozzanica J. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Maccherini Tonini E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent form of Crema has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tropical Coriano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Crema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Crema won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Crema won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Tropical Coriano	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
15	Crema	6	1	1	4	4:14	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.04.26	Pro Palazzolo - Crema	1:5 ✺
12.04.26	Crema - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Pistoiese - Crema	4:2 ✺
29.03.26	Crema - Rovato Vertovese	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Imolese - Crema	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTL
- ASD Tropical Coriano
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.04.26	Pistoiese - Tropical Coriano	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Tropical Coriano - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Sangiuliano City Nova - Tropical Coriano	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Rovato Vertovese - Tropical Coriano	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tropical Coriano - Sasso Marconi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Tropical Coriano - Crema	2:1
12.10.25	Crema - Tropical Coriano	1:2

Crema - Tropical Coriano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide