Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 2

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Crema		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.40	1.53
	5.50	3.45	1.52
	5.82	3.74	1.49
	5.86	3.72	1.53	Watch
	5.75	3.70	1.47
	5.19	3.63	1.66
	5.1	3.35	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (3.96)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)	1.55 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
16.3%

Draw
25.4%

Pistoiese
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

27.8%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crema's form might have worsened.

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.

Crema - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Pistoiese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pistoiese is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Crema won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Crema won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	17:1	16	18
15	Crema	6	1	1	4	4:14	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Pistoiese - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.43%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.09.26	Pavia - Crema	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Crema - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pro Palazzolo - Crema	1:5 ✺
12.04.26	Crema - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Pistoiese - Crema	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Pistoiese - Siena	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.05.26	Pistoiese - Piacenza	1:3 ET ✺
03.05.26	Pistoiese - Cittadella Vis Modena	5:0 ✺
26.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
03.04.26	Pistoiese - Crema	4:2
22.01.23	Crema - Pistoiese	0:1
18.09.22	Pistoiese - Crema	1:1

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